Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Sam Zell Is A Smart Guy, And He Tells It Straight

Sam Zell is a smart guy and he tells it like it is. He is not part of the Nouveau riche created by easy credit and loose money. He is an old-school real estate mogul. Zell is an iconic figure in American real estate. In 1968, he started Equity Group Investments, which today invests in industries like energy, logistics, and healthcare. Many real estate investors consider him the forefather of modern real estate investment. If you want to know what is happening in the real estate market and the economy in general, listen to Zell.

I have admired Sam Zell for many years. He is unlikely to remember me but decades ago he backed me when I was in the middle of purchasing a large apartment complex that had fallen into bankruptcy. I was just about to turn 30 at the time and he sent one of his people, a fella by the name of Cody Engle, into town to look over the situation. He rapidly backed partnering with me with half a million dollars from Illinois Continental Bank. Back then, that was a lot of money. 

Considering my young age, completing that deal would have been a watershed life-changing event, however, it was not to be. After selling the property to me, the owner (in bankruptcy) also sold it to someone else leaving the bankruptcy court to sort things out. The mortgage holder siding with the other party swung things away from me even though I was in possession of the property and actively managing it. The complex was sold for 1.9 million dollars and resold for 3.7 million just six months later.

Back then, when all this went down, almost everyone considered a million dollars a lot of money. This requires a special "historic" note in wake of the recent bank failures;

Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company was at one time the seventh-largest commercial bank in the United States as measured by deposits, with approximately $40 billion in assets. In 1984, Continental Illinois became the largest-ever bank failure in U.S. history, when a run on the bank led to its seizure by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Continental Illinois retained this dubious distinction until the failure of Washington Mutual in 2008 during the financial crisis of 2008, which ended up being over seven times larger than the failure of Continental Illinois.

Circling back to Zell, in an interview that lasted just short of ten minutes,  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEDI5cKLbBY Zell opined about America's tough path forward. His appraisal of the current economy is that we are about to run into some very serious problems. A big issue that Zell is quick to point out is that Americans face a huge reduction in living standards if eventually. the dollar loses its reserve currency status.

When Zell talks about the end of free money he notes that it appears to be just talk. The act of doing so continues to be kicked down the road. He was also asked what he would do if placed in charge of financial policy. Most of his answer is rooted in facing the economic problems we face rather than continuing to sidestep that reality. When all is said and done, Zell is a man worth listening to.

 

(Republishing of this article welcomed with reference to Bruce Wilds/AdvancingTime Blog)

3 comments:

  1. Cool story.. You were almost a millionaire at 25 !
    I have Sam Zells book.
    Im a fan of Ray Dalio... and I find that both Ray and Sam share some similar principles.
    They are able to simplify things down into basic iprinciples/deas... ( and because the ideas are kinda simple/easy... we might not value them as we should....to our folly).
    eg. in the book Sam talks about the gap between market value and replacement cost. He "frames" it as a barrier to entry of new supply.
    etc.. , which gives space for rents to rise , as demand increases..
    I love your blog posts Bruce... thks.

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  2. Bruce,
    Can u list a kinda top 10 of books to do with real estate, investment, economics, history, spirituality...etc.. that u have read.
    I'd love too see... and read.
    cheers roelof

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    Replies
    1. Thanks for your comment. It brought to my attention an error in my post that has since been corrected. I was 25 when I bought my first apartment complex but the story concerning Sam Zell occurred when I was just about to turn 30.

      When it comes to real estate a book titled "The Real-estate Turnaround" written by Craig Hall years ago is one of my favorites. Before even reading the others I urge you to "learn to NEGOTIATE," this is one of the biggest skills a person can learn and there are many books on the subject. One is by Gerard Nierenberg, it is titled, Fundamentals of Negotiating.

      Some of the books I have found interesting and even inspiring include;

      Looking out for number one by Robert Ringer
      Awakening The Giant Within by Tony Robins
      Think and Grow Rich by Napolean Hill
      How To win Friends And Influence People by Dale Carnegie
      The Millionaire Mind by Tomas Stanley
      Antifragile by Nicholas Taleb author of The Black Swan
      Also, throw in Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki

      If I mentioned an author I have generally read several books they have written. Not just the title I note. It is important a person has an understanding of what makes them tick and a personal awareness of what they need to do to move forward. Best of luck, Bruce.

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